Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.180606 0.214773 0.253125 0.299290 0.353276 0.414335 0.488550
2025-05-11 0.127736 0.170687 0.224262 0.295694 0.388099 0.503225 0.657127
2025-05-18 0.095679 0.139699 0.199159 0.284725 0.403966 0.563391 0.791668
2025-05-25 0.073685 0.115966 0.177034 0.270688 0.409483 0.606094 0.903789
2025-06-01 0.062416 0.104788 0.169604 0.274540 0.438348 0.681911 1.068267
2025-06-08 0.050953 0.090881 0.155314 0.264998 0.444597 0.723731 1.185647
2025-06-15 0.044940 0.084602 0.151717 0.271141 0.475058 0.804470 1.369979
2025-06-22 0.039264 0.077806 0.146023 0.272576 0.497313 0.873656 1.542111
2025-06-29 0.033801 0.070385 0.138000 0.268546 0.509208 0.926207 1.691088
2025-07-06 0.029311 0.064001 0.130815 0.264797 0.520669 0.978464 1.843847
2025-07-13 0.027183 0.061941 0.131408 0.275497 0.559434 1.082048 2.096527
2025-07-20 0.026337 0.062392 0.136910 0.296273 0.619298 1.229176 2.441486
2025-07-27 0.024306 0.060151 0.137068 0.307266 0.663240 1.354505 2.765046
2025-08-03 0.021282 0.055164 0.130814 0.304325 0.679350 1.429316 3.001901
2025-08-10 0.018093 0.049162 0.121377 0.293115 0.676756 1.466819 3.169075
2025-08-17 0.015192 0.043272 0.111214 0.278695 0.665222 1.484570 3.297561
2025-08-24 0.013818 0.041027 0.109214 0.282654 0.694430 1.589416 3.615811
2025-08-31 0.011877 0.036867 0.101881 0.272847 0.691095 1.624436 3.789334
2025-09-07 0.010985 0.035446 0.101196 0.279160 0.725940 1.745844 4.161089
2025-09-14 0.009970 0.033465 0.098739 0.280636 0.749321 1.843846 4.490078
2025-09-21 0.008847 0.030924 0.094367 0.276493 0.758346 1.909857 4.752800
2025-09-28 0.007873 0.028639 0.090328 0.272641 0.767572 1.977111 5.024525
2025-10-05 0.007503 0.028243 0.091626 0.283638 0.816427 2.143392 5.544447